厄尔尼诺和南方涛动对中国水稻产量的影响(英文)

编号 zgly0001586170

文献类型 期刊论文

文献题名 厄尔尼诺和南方涛动对中国水稻产量的影响(英文)

作者 邓祥征  黄季馄  乔方彬  RosamondL.Naylor  WalterP.Falcon  MarshallBurke  ScottRozelle  DavidBattisti 

作者单位 CenterforChineseAgriculturalPolicy  CAS  InstituteofGeographicSciencesandNaturalResourcesResearch  CAS  CentralFinanceUniversity  StanfordUniversity  Stanford  UniversityofWashington 

母体文献 Journal of Geographical Sciences 

年卷期 2010年01期

年份 2010 

分类号 S511  P732 

关键词 ElNioSouthernOscillation  ENSO  econometricmethods  riceproduction  sea-surfacetemperatureanomaly  China 

文摘内容 This paper aims to demonstrate the relationships between ENSO and rice production of Jiangxi province in order to identify the reason that ENSO might have little effect on Chinese rice production. Using a data set with measures of Jiangxi’s climate and rice production,we find the reason that during 1985 and 2004 ENSO’s well correlated with rainfall did not promote Chinese rice production. First,the largest effects of ENSO mostly occur in the months when there is no rice in the field. Second,there is almost no temperature effect. Finally,the monthly distribution of rainfall is almost the same in ENSO and neutral years because the largest effects are during months when there is the least rain. In addition,due to the high irrigation share and reliable and effective irrigation facilities of cultivated land,China’s rice production is less climate-sensitive.