气候变化和人类活动对淮河流域中上游地区径流影响研究（英文）

编号 zgly0001583858

文献类型 期刊论文

文献题名 气候变化和人类活动对淮河流域中上游地区径流影响研究（英文）

作者 高超  阮甜 

作者单位 DepartmentofGeographyandSpatialInformationTechniques  NingboUniversity  CollegeofTerritorialResourcesandTourism  AnhuiNormalUniversity  ClimateChangeandWaterResourceCenterofJiang-HuaiBasin  AnhuiNormalUniversity 

母体文献 Journal of Geographical Sciences 

年卷期 2018年01期

年份 2018 

分类号 P333.1  P467 

关键词 runoff  climatechange  humanactivity  contributionrate  HuaiheRiverBasin 

文摘内容 This study presents a soil and water integrated model(SWIM) and associated statistical analyses for the Huaihe River Basin(HRB) based on daily meteorological, river runoff, and water resource data encompassing the period between 1959 and 2015. The aim of this research is to quantitatively analyze the rate of contribution of upstream runoff to that of the midstream as well as the influence of climate change and human activities in this section of the river. Our goal is to explain why extreme precipitation is concentrated in the upper reaches of the HRB while floods tend to occur frequently in the middle reaches of this river basin. Results show that the rate of contribution of precipitation to runoff in the upper reaches of the HRB is significantly higher than temperature. Data show that the maximum contribution rate of upstream runoff to that of the midstream can be as high as 2.23%, while the contribution of temperature is just 0.38%. In contrast, the rate of contribution of human activities to runoff is 87.20% in the middle reaches of the HRB, while that due to climate change is 12.80%. Frequent flood disasters therefore occur in the middle reaches of the HRB because of the combined effects of extreme precipitation in the upper reaches and human activities in the middle sections.