增长与收缩——珠三角城市经济韧性的测度与影响因素（英文）

编号 zgly0001675808

文献类型 期刊论文

文献题名 增长与收缩——珠三角城市经济韧性的测度与影响因素（英文）

作者 杜志威  张虹鸥  叶玉瑶  金利霞  徐茜 

作者单位 GuangzhouInstituteofGeography  GuangdongOpenLaboratoryofGeospatialInformationTechnologyandApplication 

母体文献 Journal of Geographical Sciences 

年卷期 2019年08期

年份 2019 

分类号 F127 

关键词 economicresilience  urbanshrinkage  globalfinancialcrisis  shockresistance  shockrecoverability  PearlRiverDelta 

文摘内容 In the aftermath of the global financial crisis of 2008, China witnessed gradual shrinkage of cities in the Pearl River Delta(PRD). In this study, we introduce the concept of economic resilience to analyse urban growth and shrinkage in the context of a rapidly-urbanising region. Multiple regression analysis is performed to explore the determinants of economic resilience in the PRD. By measuring resistance in the shrinking phase and recoverability in the growing phase in a group of cities in the PRD, this study distinguishes four scenarios and investigates their characteristics from a spatial perspective. The results demonstrate that the financial crisis had a severe and asymmetric influence on this area, indicating more than 15% of cities are faced with shrinking. The spatial distribution of economic resilience indicates a centre-periphery pattern, that is, high economic resilience in the inner ring and low economic resilience in the outer ring of the PRD. The service economy is found to play a significant role in promoting urban economic resilience. Results imply that sound economic policies for enhancing resilience: both poor local financial status and a high degree of export concentration adversely impact resistance, while upgrading the manufacturing economy and stimulating of industrial innovation are conducive to improve recoverability.