中国在气候变化下碳排放、能源消费与低碳经济领域的研究进展综述（英文）

编号 zgly0001584508

文献类型 期刊论文

文献题名 中国在气候变化下碳排放、能源消费与低碳经济领域的研究进展综述（英文）

作者 沈镭  孙艳芝 

作者单位 InstituteofGeographicSciencesandNaturalResourcesResearch  CAS  UniversityofChineseAcademyofSciences 

母体文献 Journal of Geographical Sciences 

年卷期 2016年07期

年份 2016 

分类号 F124.5  X22 

关键词 carbonemissions  energyconsumption  low-carboneconomy  globalclimatechange 

文摘内容 Accompanying the rapid growth of China’s population and economy, energy consumption and carbon emission increased significantly from 1978 to 2012. China is now the largest energy consumer and CO2 emitter of the world, leading to much interest in researches on the nexus between energy consumption, carbon emissions and low-carbon economy. This article presents the domestic Chinese studies on this hotpot issue, and we obtain the following findings. First, most research fields involve geography, ecology and resource economics, and research contents contained some analysis of current situation, factors decomposition, predictive analysis and the introduction of methods and models. Second, there exists an inverted U-shaped curve connection between carbon emission, energy consumption and economic development. Energy consumption in China will be in a low-speed growth after 2035 and it is expected to peak between 6.19–12.13 billion TCE in 2050. China’s carbon emissions are expected to peak in 2035, or during 2020 to 2045, and the optimal range of carbon emissions is between 2.4–3.3 PgC/year(1 PgC=1 billion tons C) in 2050. Third, future research should be focused on global carbon trading, regional carbon flows, reforming the current energy structure, reducing energy consumption and innovating the low-carbon economic theory, as well as establishing a comprehensive theoretical system of energy consumption, carbon emissions and low-carbon economy.