Wetlands rise and fall: Six endangered wetland species showed different patterns of habitat shift under future climate change

编号 030024403

推送时间 20200622

研究领域 森林经理 

年份 2020 

类型 期刊 

语种 英语

标题 Wetlands rise and fall: Six endangered wetland species showed different patterns of habitat shift under future climate change

来源期刊 SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT

期 第244期

发表时间 20200501

关键词 Climate change;  Habitat shift;  Wetland plant;  Precipitation;  Global warming; 

摘要 Degradation and loss of species' suitable habitats in response to global warming are well documented, which are assumed to be affected by increasing temperature. Conversely, habitat increase of species is little reported and is often considered anomalous and unrelated to climate change. In this study, we first revealed the climate-change-driven habitat shifts of six endangered wetland plants - Bruguiera gymnorrhiza, Carex doniana, Glyptostrobus pensilis, Leersia hexandra, Metasequoia glyptostroboides, and Pedicularis longiflora. The current and future potential habitats of the six species in China were predicted using a maximum entropy model based on thirty-year occurrence records and climate monitoring (from 1960 to 1990). Furthermore, we observed the change of real habitats of the six species based on eight-year field observations (from 2011 to 2019). We found that the six species exhibited three different patterns of habitat shifts including decrease, unstable, and increase. The analysis on the main decisive environmental factors showed that these patterns of habitat shifts are counter to what would be expected global warming but are mostly determined by precipitation-related environmental factors rather than temperature. Collectively, our findings highlight the importance of combining multiple environmental factors including temperature and precipitation for understanding plant responses to climate change. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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