Risk aversion hinders forestry professionals to adapt to climate change

编号 030024502

推送时间 20200629

研究领域 森林经理 

年份 2020 

类型 期刊 

语种 英语

标题 Risk aversion hinders forestry professionals to adapt to climate change

来源期刊 CLIMATIC CHANGE

期 第245期

发表时间 20200520

关键词 Adaptation;  Risk;  Uncertainty;  Lottery choice;  Forest;  Perception; 

摘要 Forestry?professionals' attitudes towards risk and uncertainty under climate change, together with their perception about suitability of adaptation strategies, were investigated in Central Europe. We applied an original methodology based on lottery choices to quantify their risk and uncertainty attitude, combined with a questionnaire study about the adaptation to climate change. We tested the hypothesis that the higher the risk and uncertainty aversion of respondents, the higher the trend towards changing business-as-usual to adaptive decisions. The result falsifies the research hypothesis since uncertainty aversion has no effect, whereas risk aversion has a negative impact on the decision to adapt. We argue that risk of any change in the business-as-usual is higher than the expected risk of climate change impact in Central European?forestry. We conclude that having access to novel information about expected impacts of climate change, taking into account institutional challenges and supportive experiences about useful adaptation strategies, may convince?forestry?professionals to adapt in the future.

服务人员 付贺龙

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