桉树人工林生长模型研究进展

编号 lyqk003912

中文标题 桉树人工林生长模型研究进展

作者 陈飞鹏  许文强  杨雪  陆宏芳 

作者单位 华南农业大学生命科学学院,广州 510642;华南农业大学生命科学学院,广州 510642;华南农业大学生命科学学院,广州 510642;中国科学院华南植物园,广州 510650

期刊名称 世界林业研究 

年份 2012 

卷号 25

期号 4

栏目编号 1

栏目名称 专题论述 

中文摘要 桉树人工林生长模型包括传统统计模型和现代动态模型。传统统计模型方法包括单因素回归模型、多元回归模型、灰色系统模型、单一分布拟合法、多模型优选法、逐步回归法及其他改进方法。这些统计模型虽然简单、拟合精度高,但只是静态的经验或半经验模型,并未阐明机理,普适性很差,对于动态反馈也无能为力。现代动态模型主要包括3-PG过程模型、人工神经网络模型和系统动力学模型。与传统统计模型相比,动态模型相对较复杂、精度较低,但能够满足多因素交互、非线性预测、动态模拟、多目标决策的研究要求。文中分析了桉树人工林生长模型的特点、各研究方法的比较及系统动力学在林业中的应用,认为系统动力学模型更适合涉及多因素反馈的桉树人工林生长模型的研究。

关键词 桉树  人工林  生长模型 

基金项目 国家自然科学基金项目(31070483)

英文标题 A Review of Eucalyptus Plantation Growth Model

作者英文名 Chen Feipeng,Xu Wenqiang,Yang Xue and Lu Hongfang

单位英文名 College of Life Sciences,South China Agricultural University,Guangzhou 510642,China;College of Life Sciences,South China Agricultural University,Guangzhou 510642,China;College of Life Sciences,South China Agricultural University,Guangzhou 510642,China;South China Botanical Garden,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Guangzhou 510650,China

英文摘要 Eucalyptus plantation growth models could be classified into traditional statistical models and modern dynamic models. Traditional statistical models include univariate regression analysis, multiple regression analysis, gray system model, single distribution fitting, multi-model optimization, stepwise regression and other refined methods. Though the traditional statistical models are simple and accurate in fitting, they are only empirical or semi-empirical models, which cannot present the mechanisms and the dynamic feedbacks, and consequently cannot be applied widely. Modern dynamic models include 3-PG process model, artificial neural network model and system dynamic model. Modern dynamic models are complex but low in accuracy, while they can meet the requirements in the studies of multi-factor interaction, nonlinear prediction, dynamic simulation, and multi-objective decision. It was recommended that the system dynamic model be more suitable to apply in the study of Eucalyptus plantation growth models.

英文关键词 Eucalyptus;plantation;growth model

起始页码 34

截止页码 38

投稿时间 2012/2/11

分类号 S758.52

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