基于嵌套Logit模型的中国出口人造板产品质量分析

编号 lyqk008159

中文标题 基于嵌套Logit模型的中国出口人造板产品质量分析

作者 缪东玲  岳宇慧  陆婉樱 

作者单位 北京林业大学经济管理学院, 北京 100083

期刊名称 世界林业研究 

年份 2020 

卷号 33

期号 1

栏目编号 2

栏目名称 各国林业 

中文摘要 不断提升产品质量是中国人造板行业面临的挑战。文中分别以美国、英国、加拿大、泰国和菲律宾5个中国人造板的主要出口对象国为基准国，基于其4位数HS编码的细分人造板数据，采用Khandewal嵌套Logit模型，测度中国出口人造板的产品质量。研究发现：中国出口人造板的产品质量呈现波动上升趋势，在2006—2010年出现大幅度下滑，其可能的主要原因是贸易政策调整；中国对美、英、加3个发达国家出口人造板的产品质量较为平稳，近年来对泰国和菲律宾2个发展中国家出口人造板的产品质量明显提升。

关键词 人造板  产品质量  出口  嵌套Logit模型  中国 

基金项目 教育部人文社科研究项目“国内外市场整合视角下国际木材资源价格波动对中国木材资源安全的影响研究”（18YJA790096）；北京林业大学重大科研成果培育项目“中国林业产业发展的贸易特征、增长动力机制与市场预警技术应用研究”（20170316）。

英文标题 An Analysis on China's Exported Wood-based Panels Quality Based on Nested Logit Model

作者英文名 Miao Dongling, Yue Yuhui, Lu Wanying

单位英文名 School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China

英文摘要 Increasingly improving the product quality is a challenge for China's wood-based panel industry. Choosing five main export destinations of China's wood-based panels, including the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Thailand and Philippines, to be the benchmark countries, the paper measures the quality of the wood-based panels exported from China using the Khandewal Nested Logit Model, based on the panel trade data with the five countries under the four-digit heading of HS code. The results of the study show that the quality of China's exported wood-based panels presents an upward trend in fluctuation, but had fallen sharply in 2006-2010, and the main reason behind the falling is the adjustment of trade policy; the quality of China's wood-based panels exported to three developed countries (i.e., the United States, the United Kingdom and Canada) is stable, while the product quality exported to two developing countries (i.e., Thailand and Philippines) has been much improved in recent years.

英文关键词 wood-based panels;product quality;export;Nested Logit Model;China

起始页码 87

截止页码 92

投稿时间 2018/11/26

最后修改时间 2019/12/17

作者简介 缪东玲,女,云南曲靖人,北京林业大学经济管理学院国际贸易系副教授,博士,主要研究方向:林产品市场与贸易、贸易与环境、国际贸易政策与实务,E-mail:donglingm@bjfu.edu.cn。

分类号 F746;F316.20;X24

DOI 10.13348/j.cnki.sjlyyj.2019.0122.y

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